India’s Debt Burden- Costs and Concerns
Context:
- The International Monetary Fund(IMF) has raised concerns about the long-term sustainability of India’s debts. It also reclassified India’s exchange rate regime, terming it a “stabilised arrangement” instead of “floating”. At this juncture, understanding the debt burden of the Government of India becomes necessary.
Current Debt Situation:
- The Union government’s debt was ₹155.6 trillion, or 57.1% of GDP, at the end of March 2023 and the debt of State governments was about 28% of GDP.
- As stated by the Finance Ministry, India’s public debt-to-GDP ratio has barely increased from 81% in 2005-06 to 84% in 2021-22, and is back to 81% in 2022-23.
- This level of debt is far higher than the levels specified by the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act (FRBMA).
- The 2018 amendment to the Union government’s FRBMA specified debt-GDP targets for the Centre, States and their combined accounts at 40%, 20% and 60%, respectively.
Challenges due to high levels of Debt:
- The weight of debt can act as a drag on development due to,
- Limited access to financing due to the low sovereign ratings which scares away investors.
- Rising borrowing costs also due to sovereign ratings as interest rates has to be increased to attract risk taking investors.
- Currency devaluations which makes import of essential goods costly and exports less competitive.
- Limited employment generation as growth of the economy stagnates due to the above mentioned problems.
- Reduced social spending: To manage debt, the government may be forced to cut spending on critical social programs like healthcare and education, hindering human development.
Way forward:
- Fiscal consolidation measures to reduce the budget deficit and bring down debt levels over time. This may involve a combination of increased tax revenue, spending cuts, and reforms to improve fiscal efficiency.
- Rationalisation of subsidies can reduce burden on the public finances and at the same time ensures that the deserving people get Government support.
- Debt restructuring to use the cheaper sources of finances available at different situations.
Addressing India’s debt challenge requires a comprehensive and coordinated approach, in the long term, that balances fiscal responsibility with long-term economic growth and social development goals.
Tag:Economy, gs 3, IMF, India’s Debt Burden
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