Perfect Storm
Context
- The world is seeing a rise in cyclonic formations and in recent years, several storms have come close to undergoing the Fujiwhara effect.
Fujiwhara effect
- The Fujiwhara Effect was first described by a Japanese meteorologist, Dr. Sakuhei Fujiwhara in 1921.
- It is a phenomenon that occurs when two nearby cyclonic vortices move around each other and close the distance between the circulations of their corresponding low-pressure areas.
- When the two vortices are of unequal size, the larger vortex will tend to dominate the interaction, and the smaller vortex will circle around it.
Mechanism
- There are five different ways in which Fujiwhara effect can take place. Refer to the image provided below.
- Elastic Interaction (EI): Interaction of vortices (storms) of same or different sizes, resulting in changes only in the direction of motion. This is the most commonly seen interaction
- Partial Straining-Out (PSO): Interaction of vortices of unequal sizes. Part of the smaller vortex is lost to the atmosphere.
- Complete Straining-Out (CSO): Interaction of vortices of unequal sizes. The smaller vortex completely lost to the atmosphere
- Partial Merger (PM): Interaction of vortices of unequal sizes Part of the smaller vortex merged to the bigger vortex.
- Complete Merger (CM): Interaction of vortices of same or different sizes, resulting in complete merger of both the storms.
Is the frequency of the Fujiwhara effect increasing?
- Warmer oceans and stronger cyclones drastically increase the possibility of Fujiwhara effect.
- There has been a 35 per cent increase in the strength of typhoons that have hit Taiwan between 1977 and 2016, due to 0.4 to 0.7°C rise in the sea surface temperature
- This shows how global warming is responsible for making cyclones stronger, and thus increasing the chances of the Fujiwhara effect.
Way Forward
- Current climate models being used for tracking tropical cyclones around the world should take the Fujiwhara effect into account. This will help scientists to know if a mega storm is gathering momentum.
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